Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 61.214917 69.569491 78.134391 87.537426 97.537794 107.825387 119.178136
2025-12-07 49.191792 61.216165 74.121310 88.861750 105.101617 122.330119 141.875468
2025-12-14 40.716543 54.535348 69.907877 87.986694 108.402594 130.512298 156.046013
2025-12-21 33.639551 48.475130 65.559549 86.196755 110.014036 136.263659 167.028470
2025-12-28 30.752326 46.910504 66.012003 89.538554 117.108164 147.859915 184.258467
2026-01-04 27.597624 44.640730 65.326334 91.288812 122.154687 156.966953 198.542709
2026-01-11 23.852018 41.235662 62.958225 90.774943 124.342862 162.631027 208.769298
2026-01-18 20.645200 38.209686 60.804949 90.301567 126.396346 167.992613 218.523187
2026-01-25 18.255737 36.051611 59.568475 90.800270 129.485039 174.460167 229.468407
2026-02-01 15.704705 33.404432 57.504706 90.106796 131.005403 178.987190 238.080266
2026-02-08 13.677441 31.310774 56.020645 90.022427 133.169607 184.198742 247.427884
2026-02-15 11.597330 28.903139 53.947068 89.047976 134.131768 187.898157 254.934980
2026-02-22 10.388601 27.780677 53.608792 90.328581 137.926498 195.046791 266.594448
2026-03-01 9.363892 26.852653 53.479984 91.843894 141.993800 202.518633 278.645992
2026-03-08 7.813379 24.807563 51.606044 90.921678 142.895231 206.089612 286.005220
2026-03-15 6.248373 22.483221 49.161520 89.104316 142.559628 208.079644 291.415349
2026-03-22 5.999623 22.677161 50.515217 92.506695 148.953480 218.338730 306.771155
2026-03-29 5.435260 22.154388 50.722811 94.289024 153.229228 225.978129 318.968584
2026-04-05 4.488630 20.665896 49.330784 93.765789 154.452233 229.807591 326.538047
2026-04-12 3.667284 19.283201 48.014615 93.283805 155.681467 233.610779 334.050228
2026-04-19 3.099851 18.380251 47.418599 93.791582 158.190365 238.993164 343.472212
2026-04-26 2.435653 17.052085 46.026635 93.085482 159.040854 242.265874 350.296983
2026-05-03 1.940936 16.033726 45.090820 92.999575 160.688727 246.520192 358.308120